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Conditional Probability Exploration

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Conditional Probability Exploration 📊

Part 1: Understanding "If... Then" Statements

In a deck of cards, if you draw a red card, what is the probability it's a heart? Show your work below:

Part 2: Two-Way Tables 📋

Complete the two-way table for students who study Math and Science:

Studies Math Doesn't Study Math Total
Studies Science 10
Doesn't Study Science
Total 15 27

Part 3: Tree Diagrams 🌳

Draw a tree diagram for drawing two marbles from a bag containing 3 red and 2 blue marbles, without replacement:

Part 4: Real-World Application 🌍

A weather app predicts tomorrow's weather. If it predicts rain, it's correct 80% of the time. If it predicts no rain, it's correct 90% of the time. What's the probability that:

a) It will actually rain, given that the app predicted rain?

b) The app predicted correctly, given that it rained?

Reflection ✍️

Explain in your own words how conditional probability is used in everyday life:

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