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Chance and Probability Exploration

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Chance and Probability Exploration

Chance and Probability Exploration

Colourful kete with counters spilling out

🎯 Part 1: Probability Words

1. Match the probability words to their meanings by drawing lines:
Impossible
Unlikely
Possible
Likely
Certain
Will definitely happen
Probably won't happen
Cannot happen at all
Probably will happen
Might happen
2. Circle the best probability word for each situation:

It will rain chocolate tomorrow:

Impossible

Likely

Certain

The sun will rise tomorrow:

Impossible

Unlikely

Certain

🎲 Part 2: Counter Predictions

3. Look at this kete with counters: 5 red, 5 blue, 5 green. If you pull one counter without looking, what might happen?
Check all the things that are POSSIBLE:

Getting a red counter

Getting a yellow counter

Getting a blue counter

Getting a green counter

Getting a purple counter

4. Draw what you think might happen if you pulled 6 counters from the kete:
5. Explain why you drew those colours:

📊 Part 3: Recording Results

6. Your pair pulled counters 10 times. Use tally marks to show these results:

Red counters: |||| (4 times)

Draw the tally marks: ________________

Blue counters: |||| | (6 times)

Draw the tally marks: ________________

Green counters: (0 times)

Draw the tally marks: ________________

7. Looking at these results, fill in the blanks:

Blue was the ________ likely colour to be pulled.

Green was ________ to be pulled in these 10 tries.

Red was pulled ________ times.

🤔 Part 4: Thinking About Chance

8. Your friend says: "I will definitely get red on my next pull because I want red." Do you agree or disagree?

Agree

Disagree

Explain your thinking:
9. If you rolled a dice, which numbers are possible?

1

3

7

6

0

4

10. Draw a picture showing something that is CERTAIN to happen:

💭 Part 5: Reflection

11. What was the most surprising thing that happened during your counter experiment?
12. Complete this sentence: "Probability helps us understand..."
13. Give an example from your life where you use probability words (like likely, unlikely, possible):

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