🎯 Part 1: Observing Probability

Look at the 5 circles below. Colour 2 circles red and 3 circles blue.

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1. If you put these 5 coloured counters in a bag and picked one without looking, what is the fraction chance of picking a red counter?

Fraction: _______

2. Using probability words, describe the chance of picking a red counter:

Impossible

Unlikely

Likely

Certain

3. What is the fraction chance of picking a blue counter?

Fraction: _______

4. Explain why the red counter has this probability:

✏️ Part 2: Create Your Own

5. Draw your own set of 6 counters below. Make some red and some green so that the chance of picking red is 1/3:

6. How many red counters did you draw? _______ How many green counters? _______

7. Describe the chance of picking a green counter from your set:

Fraction: _______

In words: ________________

8. If you did this experiment 12 times, about how many times would you expect to pick a red counter?

9. A bag contains 3 red marbles, 2 blue marbles, and 5 yellow marbles. Which colour are you most likely to pick?

Red

Blue

Yellow

10. Write the fraction for the probability of picking yellow: _______

11. Explain how probability fractions help us make predictions in real life: