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Ordering Event Probabilities

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Ordering Event Probabilities

Probability scale illustration

📊 Part 1: Understanding Probability

1. Circle the correct probability scale:

0 to 10

0 to 1

1 to 100

2. Which event is IMPOSSIBLE (probability = 0)?

It will rain in Melbourne tomorrow

It will snow in Melbourne in July

The sun will rise tomorrow

3. Which event is CERTAIN (probability = 1)?

You will win the lottery next week

The school will have classes on Monday

Today will have 24 hours

4. Match these probabilities (write the letter next to each number):

50% = ____ 0.25 = ____ 100% = ____

A. 1 B. 0.5 C. 1/4

🎯 Part 2: Ordering Events

5. List 5 everyday events that could happen this week:
1. _________________________________________________
2. _________________________________________________
3. _________________________________________________
4. _________________________________________________
5. _________________________________________________
6. Order these Melbourne events from LEAST LIKELY to MOST LIKELY (number them 1-4):

____ The trams will run on time all day

____ It will be sunny for at least one hour today

____ Melbourne will have an earthquake today

____ You will eat lunch today

7. Choose TWO events from question 6 and explain why one is more likely than the other:

🏛️ Part 3: Civic Connections

8. Order these local council events from LEAST to MOST likely (use numbers 1-3):

____ Council will build a new park this year

____ Council will collect rubbish this week

____ Council will ban all cars from the city

9. Why is understanding probability important for councils when making decisions?
10. Give an example of how you use probability thinking in your daily life:

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